Democratic nominee and mayoral front-runner Zohran Mamdani’s lead over Andrew Cuomo within the race for Metropolis Corridor has narrowed after incumbent Mayor Eric Adams exited the race, in accordance with a brand new ballot launched Thursday.
Mamdani leads the race with 46% of doubtless voters backing him, adopted by unbiased candidate Cuomo with 33% assist and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa with 15%, the Quinnipiac College survey finds.
In a Quinnipiac survey that gauged a 4-way race final month, Mamdani obtained 45% assist to 23% for Cuomo, 15% for Sliwa and 12% assist. Different polls confirmed Mamdani with a hefty lead in a four-person race.
Mamdani’s lead shrinks from 22 factors to 13 factors within the new ballot.
The findings present that almost all of Adams’ supporters turned to Cuomo, the three-term ex-governor, as the choice to Mamdani whereas Sliwa’s assist didn’t budge.
Quinnipiac stated Mamdani nonetheless has the higher hand, however famous the substantial shift to Cuomo with out Adams within the race.
“The numbers modified however the contours of the race haven’t. Andrew Cuomo picked up the majority of Adams’ supporters chopping into Zohran Mamdani’s lead, however Mamdani’s frontrunner standing by double digits stays intact,” stated Quinnipiac U. Ballot Assistant Director Mary Snow.
The Cuomo marketing campaign tried to say the findings present he has momentum — despite the fact that Mamdani additionally picked up assist from the final ballot — and that he has a shot at successful in a two-way race with Mamdani if Sliwa had been to drop out like Adams.
“At the moment’s Quinnipiac ballot confirms what New Yorkers are seeing throughout the 5 boroughs — this race is shifting decisively. Andrew Cuomo is up 10 factors since September, whereas Zohran Mamdani stays stagnant and Curtis Sliwa continues to fade away,” Cuomo spokesman Wealthy Azzopardi stated.
Mamdani’s strongest voter assist comes from Democrats (60%), Asian American voters (67%,) voters 18 to 34 years outdated (62%), voters 35 to 49 years outdated (60%), and voters who determine as not being a part of any non secular group (69%). He additionally leads Cuomo amongst black and Hispanic voters.
Cuomo’s strongest assist comes from Jewish voters (60%).
In the meantime 54% of Republicans assist Sliwa whereas 37% assist Cuomo.
Extra voters say Mamdani is a extra moral candidate than Cuomo or Sliwa.
Cuomo’s largest problem in garnering extra assist could also be is personal repute, together with sexual harassment allegations that he denies however that compelled him out of workplace in 2021. A majority — 52% of voters — view him unfavorably.
Conversely, much more voters stated Cuomo had the “proper form of expertise” to be mayor.
Voters had been requested — no matter who they assist, which candidate would do the most effective job of constructing certain New York Metropolis’s pursuits are finest represented in D.C. with President Trump within the White Home.
It was almost a draw with 35% saying Mamdani, 34% Cuomo, and 22% Sliwa, with 9% having no opinion.
“A lot has been stated concerning the problem not on the poll however looming over the race: President Trump. Each Mamdani and Cuomo make the case they’ll be the most effective guardrail over New York Metropolis’s pursuits below Trump. However voters don’t see a lot daylight between them,” stated Quinnipiac’s Snow.
Considerably extra voters stated Mamdani would do a greater job of reducing housing prices, 48% to 25% for Cuomo and 13% for Sliwa with 14% undecided.
Extra voters stated Cuomo would do a greater job of managing the economic system — 41% to 35% for Mamdani, 15% for Sliwa and the remainder with no opinion.
Voters had been requested which candidate’s views matched their very own on the Israel – Hamas battle.
Practically half — 45% — say Mamdani, 26% Cuomo, and 13% Sliwa, with 20% undecided.
Significantly extra voters stated their sympathies are extra with the Palestinians than Israelis within the Center East battle — 43% to 22% with a 3rd not providing an opinion.
The ballot was concluded earlier than President Trump introduced the primary part of a peace/hostage launch plan between Israel and Hamas.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,015 doubtless metropolis voters from October 3 to 7. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 proportion factors.
